Market Analysis of STI and KLCI
STI had been adjusted after turning point. Is it risk or opportunity? The turning point of KLCI will appear tomorrow. What kind of potential stocks we should focus on?
主力操盘全景图
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Wave Theory of Technical Analysis
趋势交易法之数浪法则 数浪法则 上升趋势：再确认第一主升浪之后，价格突破前一主升浪高点，浪数增加1浪，价格不跌破前一调整浪低点，浪数加1。奇数为主升浪，偶数为调整浪。 下降趋势：再确认第一主跌浪后，价格跌破前一主跌浪低点，浪数增加1浪，价格不涨破前一调整浪高点，浪数加1. 本文主讲上升趋势。 1、如何确认第一浪。 如果价格在升破之前的高点时，前一主跌浪跌破了他之前的主跌浪，那么现在突破前高后的上涨就是第一浪。如图。 如果价格在升破之前的高点时，前一主跌浪没有跌破他之前的主跌浪的低点，那么，现在突破前高后的上涨就是第三浪，第一浪就是价格突破前高之前的主升浪，原来我们会定义为调整浪。如图。 2、确定第一浪之后的数浪原则 确定第一浪之后，只要之后的下跌没有跌破之前的低点，就可以定义为第二浪，之后的上涨只要突破第一浪得高点，我们就定义为第三浪。如图。 随着时间的推移，我们来到第五浪之后的第六浪形成阶段，在他还没有跌破第四浪得低点时，我们暂时把他定义为第六浪。如图。 但是，当它跌破第四浪得低点之后，我们之前考虑的第六浪就不成立了，思路要转换一下，第六浪调整浪转换为第一浪主跌浪，之后的再次上涨我们就认为是下跌中的第二浪调整浪。如图。 以此类推，不停地突破前高，浪数加一，调整浪不跌破前低，浪数加一。直到价格跌破前一调整浪低点，就转换思路，开始向下数浪。 3、同级别数浪 在数浪过程中，要注意同级别数浪原则。我们可以通过调整浪的周期来判断，通过统计可以预测，后一调整浪是前一调整浪的0.8-1.3倍，属于同一级别浪，在使用过程中，可以用接近1倍的比例来计算，方便使用。 通过下图我们可以看出，价格突破第三浪得高点后，确认第四浪得形成，第五浪开始运行，由于第二浪和第四浪周期相似（具体来说是时间周期），所以他们都是父浪级。第一浪可以分为5个子浪。如图。 错误的数浪方法如下，没有注意波浪的级别。 判断同级别的浪还可以利用通道的概念，将波浪的周期和长度相似的调整浪和主浪放在同一级别中。如下图。 确定统一的数浪法则就是为了统一的交易方法，只有方法统一，才能保证操作的统一性，这样才能最大限度的使用趋势交易法，也只有这样，我们才能看到趋势...
Foreign banks tighten lending rules for China state-backed firms
Some banks are adopting stricter lending criteria for China's state-owned enterprises (SOEs), demanding collateral from some companies they used to deem as safe as government debt, as Beijing tries to reform its bloated firms and the economy slows. Singapore's DBS Group, which recently suffered a loss on a bad loan to an SOE-related firm it had assessed as risk-free, plans to launch a "decision grid" to assess the creditworthiness of SOEs, according to draft internal risk guidelines reviewed by Reuters. A banker at Taiwan's Chang Hwa Commercial Bank said that from the beginning of this year his bank would only lend to state-owned Chinese companies that provide collateral, in recognition that SOEs were no longer risk free. Such changes in policy suggest some foreign banks are preparing for a rise in defaults in the world's second-largest economy, which is growing at its slowest pace in a quarter of a century and where the government is trying to mak...
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