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Foreign banks tighten lending rules for China state-backed firms
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Wave Theory of Technical Analysis
趋势交易法之数浪法则 数浪法则 上升趋势：再确认第一主升浪之后，价格突破前一主升浪高点，浪数增加1浪，价格不跌破前一调整浪低点，浪数加1。奇数为主升浪，偶数为调整浪。 下降趋势：再确认第一主跌浪后，价格跌破前一主跌浪低点，浪数增加1浪，价格不涨破前一调整浪高点，浪数加1. 本文主讲上升趋势。 1、如何确认第一浪。 如果价格在升破之前的高点时，前一主跌浪跌破了他之前的主跌浪，那么现在突破前高后的上涨就是第一浪。如图。 如果价格在升破之前的高点时，前一主跌浪没有跌破他之前的主跌浪的低点，那么，现在突破前高后的上涨就是第三浪，第一浪就是价格突破前高之前的主升浪，原来我们会定义为调整浪。如图。 2、确定第一浪之后的数浪原则 确定第一浪之后，只要之后的下跌没有跌破之前的低点，就可以定义为第二浪，之后的上涨只要突破第一浪得高点，我们就定义为第三浪。如图。 随着时间的推移，我们来到第五浪之后的第六浪形成阶段，在他还没有跌破第四浪得低点时，我们暂时把他定义为第六浪。如图。 但是，当它跌破第四浪得低点之后，我们之前考虑的第六浪就不成立了，思路要转换一下，第六浪调整浪转换为第一浪主跌浪，之后的再次上涨我们就认为是下跌中的第二浪调整浪。如图。 以此类推，不停地突破前高，浪数加一，调整浪不跌破前低，浪数加一。直到价格跌破前一调整浪低点，就转换思路，开始向下数浪。 3、同级别数浪 在数浪过程中，要注意同级别数浪原则。我们可以通过调整浪的周期来判断，通过统计可以预测，后一调整浪是前一调整浪的0.8-1.3倍，属于同一级别浪，在使用过程中，可以用接近1倍的比例来计算，方便使用。 通过下图我们可以看出，价格突破第三浪得高点后，确认第四浪得形成，第五浪开始运行，由于第二浪和第四浪周期相似（具体来说是时间周期），所以他们都是父浪级。第一浪可以分为5个子浪。如图。 错误的数浪方法如下，没有注意波浪的级别。 判断同级别的浪还可以利用通道的概念，将波浪的周期和长度相似的调整浪和主浪放在同一级别中。如下图。 确定统一的数浪法则就是为了统一的交易方法，只有方法统一，才能保证操作的统一性，这样才能最大限度的使用趋势交易法，也只有这样，我们才能看到趋势...
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